Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.006393 0.007142 0.007957 0.008913 0.010006 0.011220 0.012674
2025-03-23 0.005154 0.006164 0.007354 0.008871 0.010767 0.013075 0.016127
2025-03-30 0.004654 0.005828 0.007288 0.009260 0.011885 0.015303 0.020164
2025-04-06 0.004044 0.005240 0.006791 0.008979 0.012038 0.016236 0.022566
2025-04-13 0.003588 0.004783 0.006387 0.008738 0.012164 0.017087 0.024907
2025-04-20 0.003290 0.004501 0.006177 0.008720 0.012573 0.018353 0.027999
2025-04-27 0.003131 0.004390 0.006186 0.009002 0.013437 0.020381 0.032558
2025-05-04 0.002908 0.004164 0.006000 0.008965 0.013789 0.021630 0.036000
2025-05-11 0.002738 0.003998 0.005886 0.009016 0.014277 0.023142 0.040108
2025-05-18 0.002554 0.003793 0.005691 0.008915 0.014489 0.024196 0.043525
2025-05-25 0.002438 0.003685 0.005635 0.009032 0.015079 0.025976 0.048596
2025-06-01 0.002295 0.003523 0.005478 0.008960 0.015321 0.027138 0.052611
2025-06-08 0.002102 0.003271 0.005165 0.008604 0.015038 0.027332 0.054778
2025-06-15 0.001984 0.003134 0.005034 0.008562 0.015343 0.028725 0.059837
2025-06-22 0.001948 0.003131 0.005129 0.008935 0.016486 0.031958 0.069711
2025-06-29 0.001810 0.002946 0.004891 0.008666 0.016318 0.032423 0.073098
2025-07-06 0.001692 0.002784 0.004684 0.008434 0.016200 0.032977 0.076813
2025-07-13 0.001615 0.002691 0.004592 0.008417 0.016527 0.034563 0.083529
2025-07-20 0.001583 0.002677 0.004644 0.008688 0.017502 0.037780 0.095382
2025-07-27 0.001513 0.002588 0.004549 0.008652 0.017794 0.039416 0.103169
2025-08-03 0.001459 0.002525 0.004498 0.008701 0.018284 0.041612 0.113149
2025-08-10 0.001392 0.002432 0.004383 0.008604 0.018420 0.042925 0.120724
2025-08-17 0.001353 0.002391 0.004366 0.008717 0.019068 0.045675 0.133658